Brit Predictor

Nice vs Le Mans prediction

France Ligue 1 · Saturday 5 September 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeNice 1–1 Le MansResult X

Who wins?

NiceDrawLe Mans
Model 1 ✗
45%25%29%
Market 1 ✗
59%23%18%

Brit Predictor's model rates Nice to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Nice 45% at home, a draw 25% and Le Mans 29%, so its call is 1: Nice to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 59% / 23% / 18%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Nice and 1.3 for Le Mans; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on Le Mans, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
GoalsOver 2.5 · 57%
Both teams score60%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Nice

Attack 14th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.

LDDLD
  • L 0-3 at Paris FC 2026-08-30
  • D 0-0 v Lorient 2026-08-22
  • D 0-0 v Metz 2026-05-17
  • L 1-2 at Auxerre 2026-05-10
  • D 1-1 v Lens 2026-05-02

Le Mans

Attack 12th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.

LD
  • L 2-3 at Rennes 2026-08-30
  • D 2-2 v Brest 2026-08-22

From 633 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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