Le Havre vs Brest prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 5 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Le Havre to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Le Havre 37% at home, a draw 28% and Brest 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 29% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Le Havre and 1.3 for Brest; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Le Havre
Attack 17th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Lyon 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Monaco 2026-08-23
- W 2-0 at Lorient 2026-05-17
- L 0-1 v Marseille 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 at Lille 2026-05-03
Brest
Attack 10th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Toulouse 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Le Mans 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Angers 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 v Strasbourg 2026-05-13
- L 0-1 at Paris SG 2026-05-10
From 633 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 5 Sep
- Lens vs Lorient · FT 0–1
- Nice vs Le Mans · FT 1–1