Fenerbahce vs Besiktas prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Saturday 5 September 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Fenerbahce to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Fenerbahce 55% at home, a draw 23% and Besiktas 22%, so its call is 1: Fenerbahce to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 27% / 29%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.1 for Fenerbahce and 1.3 for Besiktas; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 67%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Fenerbahce
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Samsunspor 2026-08-30
- W 4-2 v Konyaspor 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Genclerbirligi 2026-08-15
- D 3-3 v Eyupspor 2026-05-17
- W 3-0 at Konyaspor 2026-05-09
Besiktas
Attack 4th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- W 6-2 v Corum 2026-08-31
- L 0-1 at Alanyaspor 2026-08-23
- W 1-0 v Eyupspor 2026-08-16
- D 2-2 at Rizespor 2026-05-15
- L 1-2 v Trabzonspor 2026-05-09
From 676 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Turkey Super Lig games on Sat 5 Sep
- Erzurumspor vs Konyaspor · FT 1–0