Erzurumspor vs Konyaspor prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Konyaspor to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Erzurumspor 31% at home, a draw 30% and Konyaspor 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 30% / 30%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Erzurumspor and 1.4 for Konyaspor; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Erzurumspor, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Erzurumspor
Attack 17th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Genclerbirligi 2026-08-28
- L 0-4 v Galatasaray 2026-08-21
- L 0-3 at Amedspor 2026-08-16
Konyaspor
Attack 11th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Kocaelispor 2026-08-29
- L 2-4 at Fenerbahce 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 v Rizespor 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 at Kayserispor 2026-05-17
- L 0-3 v Fenerbahce 2026-05-09
From 676 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Turkey Super Lig games on Sat 5 Sep
- Fenerbahce vs Besiktas · FT 1–2