Dresden vs Bochum prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 5 September 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Dresden to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Dresden 43% at home, a draw 26% and Bochum 30%, so its call is 1: Dresden to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 26% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Dresden and 1.2 for Bochum; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Dresden
Attack 6th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- L 3-5 at Heidenheim 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 v Darmstadt 2026-08-16
- L 0-3 at Nurnberg 2026-08-09
- W 2-1 v Holstein Kiel 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Braunschweig 2026-05-09
Bochum
Attack 16th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Osnabruck 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 at Braunschweig 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 v Hertha 2026-08-07
- W 2-1 at Karlsruhe 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 v Hannover 2026-05-09
From 641 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sat 5 Sep
- Holstein Kiel vs Nurnberg · FT 2–2
- Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt · FT 3–0
- Wolfsburg vs Cottbus · FT 4–4