Pau FC vs Sochaux prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 4 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Pau FC to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Pau FC 40% at home, a draw 29% and Sochaux 31%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 29% / 31%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Pau FC and 1.0 for Sochaux; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on Sochaux, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Pau FC
Attack 9th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Rodez 2026-08-28
- L 0-1 v Nancy 2026-08-21
- W 1-0 at Dijon 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 v Annecy 2026-08-08
- L 3-5 at Reims 2026-05-09
Sochaux
Attack 18th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Clermont 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 v Guingamp 2026-08-21
- D 0-0 at Red Star 2026-08-14
- L 0-3 v St Etienne 2026-08-08
From 647 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 4 Sep
- Boulogne vs Dijon · FT 1–1
- Dunkerque vs Clermont · FT 1–1
- Grenoble vs Annecy · FT 1–2
- Laval vs Red Star · FT 1–2