Boulogne vs Dijon prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 4 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Boulogne to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Boulogne 37% at home, a draw 31% and Dijon 32%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 30% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.1 for Boulogne and 1.0 for Dijon; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 67%. Careful: there is little recent data on Dijon, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Boulogne
Attack 17th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Montpellier 2026-08-28
- D 1-1 v Red Star 2026-08-21
- L 0-1 at Guingamp 2026-08-14
- D 0-0 v Nancy 2026-08-08
- L 1-2 at Laval 2026-05-09
Dijon
Attack 13th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- L 2-3 v St Etienne 2026-08-31
- D 1-1 at Clermont 2026-08-21
- L 0-1 v Pau FC 2026-08-14
- D 1-1 at Montpellier 2026-08-08
From 647 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 4 Sep
- Dunkerque vs Clermont · FT 1–1
- Grenoble vs Annecy · FT 1–2
- Laval vs Red Star · FT 1–2
- Pau FC vs Sochaux · FT 1–1