Brit Predictor

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren prediction

Scotland Premiership · Wednesday 2 September 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeKilmarnock 0–1 St MirrenResult 2

Who wins?

KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
Model 1 ✗
43%26%31%
Market 12 ✓
36%26%39%

Brit Predictor's model rates Kilmarnock to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Kilmarnock 43% at home, a draw 26% and St Mirren 31%, so its call is 1: Kilmarnock to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 26% / 39%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Kilmarnock and 1.3 for St Mirren; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
GoalsOver 2.5 · 52%
Both teams score56%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Kilmarnock

Attack 6th of 12, defence 12th of 12 in the league.

LLLWW
  • L 0-4 v Dundee United 2026-08-29
  • L 1-5 v Celtic 2026-08-09
  • L 3-4 at St Johnstone 2026-08-02
  • W 4-1 at Livingston 2026-05-17
  • W 3-1 v Dundee 2026-05-12

St Mirren

Attack 12th of 12, defence 6th of 12 in the league.

DWWDW
  • D 3-3 v Motherwell 2026-08-30
  • W 1-0 v St Johnstone 2026-08-08
  • W 2-0 at Falkirk 2026-08-01
  • D 1-1 v Dundee United 2026-05-17
  • W 2-0 at Aberdeen 2026-05-12

From 475 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.

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