Dundee vs St Johnstone prediction
Scotland Premiership · Wednesday 2 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Dundee to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Dundee 51% at home, a draw 24% and St Johnstone 25%, so its call is 1: Dundee to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 27% / 37%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Dundee and 1.1 for St Johnstone; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 55%. Careful: there is little recent data on St Johnstone, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Dundee
Attack 8th of 12, defence 10th of 12 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Hibernian 2026-08-30
- W 2-0 at Dundee United 2026-08-22
- W 2-0 v Aberdeen 2026-08-08
- L 0-1 at Celtic 2026-08-03
- W 3-2 v Aberdeen 2026-05-17
St Johnstone
Attack 10th of 12, defence 11th of 12 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Hearts 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 at St Mirren 2026-08-08
- W 4-3 v Kilmarnock 2026-08-02
- L 0-2 v Dundee 2025-05-18
- L 1-2 at Hearts 2025-05-14
From 475 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Wed 2 Sep
- Celtic vs Aberdeen · FT 3–0
- Kilmarnock vs St Mirren · FT 0–1
- Motherwell vs Dundee United · FT 3–0
- Falkirk vs Rangers · FT 1–2