Sp Braga vs Guimaraes prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Monday 31 August 2026, 21:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Braga to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Sp Braga 63% at home, a draw 20% and Guimaraes 16%, so its call is 1: Sp Braga to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 27% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Sp Braga and 0.9 for Guimaraes; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sp Braga
Attack 4th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Moreirense 2026-08-09
- D 2-2 v Estrela 2026-05-16
- D 2-2 at Benfica 2026-05-11
- D 1-1 v Estoril 2026-05-03
- L 1-2 at Santa Clara 2026-04-26
Guimaraes
Attack 7th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Nacional 2026-08-23
- L 2-3 at Sp Lisbon 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 v Arouca 2026-08-08
- L 0-2 at Nacional 2026-05-16
- L 0-1 v Casa Pia 2026-05-11
From 643 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Mon 31 Aug
- Benfica vs Estoril · FT 2–1