Benfica vs Estoril prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Monday 31 August 2026, 21:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Benfica to win as the most likely result (84%). It gives Benfica 84% at home, a draw 10% and Estoril 6%, so its call is 1: Benfica to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 90% / 7% / 3%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 3.3 for Benfica and 0.8 for Estoril; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 78%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Benfica
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
- W 7-0 at Casa Pia 2026-08-17
- D 2-2 v Academico Viseu 2026-08-09
- W 3-1 at Estoril 2026-05-16
- D 2-2 v Sp Braga 2026-05-11
- D 2-2 at Famalicao 2026-05-02
Estoril
Attack 5th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Rio Ave 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Nacional 2026-08-16
- D 1-1 v Famalicao 2026-08-07
- L 1-3 v Benfica 2026-05-16
- D 1-1 at Alverca 2026-05-10
From 643 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Mon 31 Aug
- Sp Braga vs Guimaraes · FT 1–0