Lecce vs Roma prediction
Italy Serie A · Monday 31 August 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Roma to win as the most likely result (64%). It gives Lecce 12% at home, a draw 24% and Roma 64%, so its call is 2: Roma to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 13% / 21% / 67%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.6 for Lecce and 1.6 for Roma; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lecce
Attack 20th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Venezia 2026-08-23
- W 1-0 v Genoa 2026-05-24
- W 3-2 at Sassuolo 2026-05-17
- L 0-1 v Juventus 2026-05-09
- W 2-1 at Pisa 2026-05-01
Roma
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
- W 4-0 v Fiorentina 2026-08-24
- W 2-0 at Verona 2026-05-24
- W 2-0 v Lazio 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 at Parma 2026-05-10
- W 4-0 v Fiorentina 2026-05-04
From 778 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Mon 31 Aug
- Atalanta vs Bologna · FT 1–0