Atalanta vs Bologna prediction
Italy Serie A · Monday 31 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Atalanta to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Atalanta 53% at home, a draw 25% and Bologna 23%, so its call is 1: Atalanta to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 26% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Atalanta and 1.0 for Bologna; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Atalanta
Attack 4th of 20, defence 6th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Sassuolo 2026-08-23
- D 1-1 at Fiorentina 2026-05-22
- L 0-1 v Bologna 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 at Milan 2026-05-10
- D 0-0 v Genoa 2026-05-02
Bologna
Attack 8th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Lazio 2026-08-24
- D 3-3 v Inter 2026-05-23
- W 1-0 at Atalanta 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 at Napoli 2026-05-11
- D 0-0 v Cagliari 2026-05-03
From 778 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Mon 31 Aug
- Lecce vs Roma · FT 0–4