Brit Predictor

Harrogate vs Gateshead prediction

England National League · Monday 31 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeHarrogate 2–1 GatesheadResult 1

Who wins?

HarrogateDrawGateshead
Model 1 ✓
61%19%20%
Market 1 ✓
61%22%17%

Brit Predictor's model rates Harrogate to win as the most likely result (61%). It gives Harrogate 61% at home, a draw 19% and Gateshead 20%, so its call is 1: Harrogate to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 22% / 17%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.4 for Harrogate and 1.3 for Gateshead; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 71%. Careful: there is little recent data on Harrogate, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals2.4 – 1.3
GoalsOver 2.5 · 71%
Both teams score66%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Harrogate

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.

LDWW
  • L 1-3 at Aldershot 2026-08-28
  • D 2-2 v Barrow 2026-08-22
  • W 3-1 at Wealdstone 2026-08-15
  • W 5-2 v Solihull 2026-08-08

Gateshead

Attack 17th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.

LLWLL
  • L 0-1 v Sutton 2026-08-28
  • L 0-3 at Yeovil 2026-08-22
  • W 2-0 v Woking 2026-08-15
  • L 1-2 at Eastleigh 2026-08-08
  • L 1-3 at Altrincham 2026-04-25

From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.

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