Brit Predictor

Carlisle vs Scunthorpe prediction

England National League · Monday 31 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeCarlisle 4–2 ScunthorpeResult 1

Who wins?

CarlisleDrawScunthorpe
Model 1 ✓
56%22%22%
Market 1 ✓
58%22%20%

Brit Predictor's model rates Carlisle to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Carlisle 56% at home, a draw 22% and Scunthorpe 22%, so its call is 1: Carlisle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 22% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Carlisle and 1.2 for Scunthorpe; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 63%.

Expected goals2.0 – 1.2
GoalsOver 2.5 · 63%
Both teams score62%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Carlisle

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

DWDLW
  • D 1-1 at Wealdstone 2026-08-28
  • W 4-1 v Hornchurch 2026-08-22
  • D 1-1 at Yeovil 2026-08-15
  • L 2-3 v Worthing 2026-08-08
  • W 3-0 v Brackley Town 2026-04-25

Scunthorpe

Attack 5th of 24, defence 11th of 24 in the league.

WLLDL
  • W 3-1 v Solihull 2026-08-28
  • L 2-3 at Eastleigh 2026-08-22
  • L 0-1 at Southend 2026-08-15
  • D 1-1 v Yeovil 2026-08-08
  • L 0-1 v Eastleigh 2026-04-25

From 1152 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Mon 31 Aug

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