Famalicao vs Gil Vicente prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 30 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Famalicao to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Famalicao 45% at home, a draw 29% and Gil Vicente 26%, so its call is 1: Famalicao to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 28% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Famalicao and 0.8 for Gil Vicente; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 67%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Famalicao
Attack 9th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Santa Clara 2026-08-23
- L 1-2 v Maritimo 2026-08-16
- D 1-1 at Estoril 2026-08-07
- W 1-0 v Alverca 2026-05-16
- D 0-0 at Estrela 2026-05-11
Gil Vicente
Attack 7th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Casa Pia 2026-08-24
- W 1-0 v Rio Ave 2026-08-09
- L 0-3 at Sp Lisbon 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 v Arouca 2026-05-11
- D 0-0 at Rio Ave 2026-05-03
From 640 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 30 Aug
- Nacional vs Estrela · FT 2–3
- Casa Pia vs Moreirense · FT 0–1