Casa Pia vs Moreirense prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Moreirense to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Casa Pia 35% at home, a draw 27% and Moreirense 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 30% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Casa Pia and 1.2 for Moreirense; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Casa Pia
Attack 18th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Gil Vicente 2026-08-24
- L 0-7 v Benfica 2026-08-17
- L 0-1 at Maritimo 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 v Rio Ave 2026-05-16
- W 1-0 at Guimaraes 2026-05-11
Moreirense
Attack 11th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-4 at Arouca 2026-08-16
- D 2-2 v Sp Braga 2026-08-09
- D 0-0 v AVS 2026-05-16
- L 0-2 at Tondela 2026-05-11
- W 3-2 v Estrela 2026-05-02
From 640 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 30 Aug
- Nacional vs Estrela · FT 2–3
- Famalicao vs Gil Vicente · FT 0–0