Brit Predictor

Augsburg vs Schalke 04 prediction

Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:30 WAT

Full timeAugsburg 3–0 Schalke 04Result 1

Who wins?

AugsburgDrawSchalke 04
Model 1 ✓
42%27%31%
Market 1 ✓
42%27%32%

Brit Predictor's model rates Augsburg to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Augsburg 42% at home, a draw 27% and Schalke 04 31%, so its call is 1: Augsburg to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 27% / 32%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Augsburg and 1.2 for Schalke 04; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%. Careful: there is little recent data on Schalke 04, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
GoalsOver 2.5 · 51%
Both teams score55%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Augsburg

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

LWWDW
  • L 0-4 at Union Berlin 2026-05-16
  • W 3-1 v M'gladbach 2026-05-09
  • W 3-1 at Werder Bremen 2026-05-02
  • D 1-1 v Ein Frankfurt 2026-04-25
  • W 2-1 at Leverkusen 2026-04-18

Schalke 04

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

No recent league games.

From 619 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.

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