Monza vs Udinese prediction
Italy Serie A · Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Udinese to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Monza 26% at home, a draw 27% and Udinese 47%, so its call is 2: Udinese to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 31% / 37%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Monza and 1.5 for Udinese; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%. Careful: there is little recent data on Monza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Monza
Attack 17th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Inter 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Milan 2025-05-24
- L 1-3 v Empoli 2025-05-18
- W 2-1 at Udinese 2025-05-11
- L 0-4 v Atalanta 2025-05-04
Udinese
Attack 12th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Como 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Napoli 2026-05-24
- L 0-1 v Cremonese 2026-05-17
- W 2-0 at Cagliari 2026-05-09
- W 2-0 v Torino 2026-05-02
From 771 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sat 29 Aug
- Fiorentina vs Frosinone · FT 0–3
- Sassuolo vs Torino · FT 2–1
- Juventus vs Parma · FT 2–0