Kortrijk vs Charleroi prediction
Belgium Pro League · Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:15 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Charleroi to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Kortrijk 23% at home, a draw 28% and Charleroi 48%, so its call is 2: Charleroi to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 30% / 27% / 43%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kortrijk and 1.5 for Charleroi; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Kortrijk, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Kortrijk
Attack 15th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 v Antwerp 2026-08-15
- L 0-3 at Club Brugge 2026-08-07
- D 2-2 v St Truiden 2025-05-10
- W 2-0 at Cercle Brugge 2025-05-03
- L 0-2 at Beerschot VA 2025-04-25
Charleroi
Attack 10th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Mechelen 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 at Lommel SK 2026-08-16
- W 3-1 v Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-08-09
- W 2-0 at Standard 2026-05-23
- D 1-1 v Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-05-19
From 648 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sat 29 Aug
- RAAL La Louviere vs Mechelen · FT 2–2
- Cercle Brugge vs Lommel SK · FT 0–1
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Standard · FT 1–2