Cercle Brugge vs Lommel SK prediction
Belgium Pro League · Saturday 29 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cercle Brugge to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Cercle Brugge 40% at home, a draw 27% and Lommel SK 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 20% / 19%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Cercle Brugge and 1.3 for Lommel SK; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Lommel SK, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cercle Brugge
Attack 8th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Club Brugge 2026-08-23
- D 3-3 v St Truiden 2026-08-14
- D 2-2 at Standard 2026-08-08
- L 1-4 at RAAL La Louviere 2026-05-09
- L 2-3 v Waregem 2026-05-01
Lommel SK
Attack 13th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- W 4-0 v Westerlo 2026-08-23
- L 0-1 v Charleroi 2026-08-16
- D 1-1 at St Truiden 2026-08-08
From 648 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sat 29 Aug
- RAAL La Louviere vs Mechelen · FT 2–2
- Kortrijk vs Charleroi · FT 1–3
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Standard · FT 1–2