Heidenheim vs Dresden prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Heidenheim to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Heidenheim 43% at home, a draw 23% and Dresden 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 25% / 31%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Heidenheim and 1.7 for Dresden; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 70%. Careful: there is little recent data on Heidenheim, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Heidenheim
Attack 1st of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Hertha 2026-08-15
- W 4-3 v Osnabruck 2026-08-08
Dresden
Attack 9th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Darmstadt 2026-08-16
- L 0-3 at Nurnberg 2026-08-09
- W 2-1 v Holstein Kiel 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Braunschweig 2026-05-09
- W 1-0 v Kaiserslautern 2026-05-02
From 632 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sat 29 Aug
- Karlsruhe vs Wolfsburg · FT 2–5
- Cottbus vs Greuther Furth · FT 3–4
- Nurnberg vs Bielefeld · FT 4–1