Cottbus vs Greuther Furth prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 29 August 2026, 13:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cottbus to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Cottbus 49% at home, a draw 23% and Greuther Furth 28%, so its call is 1: Cottbus to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 25% / 36%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for Cottbus and 1.5 for Greuther Furth; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 67%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cottbus, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cottbus
Attack 12th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Bielefeld 2026-08-16
- W 3-1 v Hannover 2026-08-09
Greuther Furth
Attack 13th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 2-4 v Nurnberg 2026-08-15
- D 1-1 at St Pauli 2026-08-09
- W 3-0 v Fortuna Dusseldorf 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Hertha 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 v Nurnberg 2026-05-03
From 632 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sat 29 Aug
- Karlsruhe vs Wolfsburg · FT 2–5
- Heidenheim vs Dresden · FT 5–3
- Nurnberg vs Bielefeld · FT 4–1