Guingamp vs Nantes prediction
France Ligue 2 · Saturday 29 August 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Guingamp to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Guingamp 51% at home, a draw 23% and Nantes 26%, so its call is 1: Guingamp to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 28% / 38%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Guingamp and 1.2 for Nantes; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 59%. Careful: there is little recent data on Nantes, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Guingamp
Attack 7th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Sochaux 2026-08-21
- W 1-0 v Boulogne 2026-08-14
- L 1-2 at Metz 2026-08-08
- L 0-1 at Clermont 2026-05-09
- L 0-1 v Bastia 2026-05-02
Nantes
Attack 9th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- L 2-5 v Rodez 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Laval 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 v Red Star 2026-08-08
From 643 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Sat 29 Aug
- Red Star vs Reims · FT 1–4
- Annecy vs Metz · FT 1–1