Brit Predictor

Annecy vs Metz prediction

France Ligue 2 · Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 WAT

Full timeAnnecy 1–1 MetzResult X

Who wins?

AnnecyDrawMetz
Model 12 ✗
36%27%37%
Market 12 ✗
33%29%37%

Brit Predictor's model rates Metz to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Annecy 36% at home, a draw 27% and Metz 37%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 29% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Annecy and 1.3 for Metz; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Metz, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 52%
Both teams score53%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Annecy

Attack 6th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.

LWWLW
  • L 1-3 at Reims 2026-08-24
  • W 2-0 v Rodez 2026-08-14
  • W 1-0 at Pau FC 2026-08-08
  • L 1-2 v Rodez 2026-05-09
  • W 2-1 at Boulogne 2026-05-02

Metz

Attack 3rd of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.

DDWWD
  • D 1-1 v Laval 2026-08-22
  • D 0-0 at Grenoble 2026-08-14
  • W 2-1 v Guingamp 2026-08-08
  • W 3-2 at Laval 2025-05-10
  • D 3-3 v Rodez 2025-05-02

From 643 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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