Brit Predictor

Ayr vs Morton prediction

Scotland Championship · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeAyr 1–1 MortonResult X

Who wins?

AyrDrawMorton
Model 1 ✗
50%30%20%
Market 1 ✗
58%25%18%

Brit Predictor's model rates Ayr to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Ayr 50% at home, a draw 30% and Morton 20%, so its call is 1: Ayr to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 25% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Ayr and 0.9 for Morton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.

Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score51%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Ayr

Attack 5th of 10, defence 8th of 10 in the league.

LDWLL
  • L 0-2 at Raith Rvs 2026-08-22
  • D 1-1 at Dunfermline 2026-08-08
  • W 2-0 v Arbroath 2026-08-01
  • L 0-1 v St Johnstone 2026-05-01
  • L 1-2 at Airdrie Utd 2026-04-25

Morton

Attack 8th of 10, defence 10th of 10 in the league.

LLLDL
  • L 1-2 v Arbroath 2026-08-22
  • L 0-2 at Stenhousemuir 2026-08-08
  • L 0-1 v Partick 2026-08-01
  • D 1-1 v Airdrie Utd 2026-05-01
  • L 0-4 at Ross County 2026-04-25

From 376 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.

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