Ayr vs Morton prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ayr to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Ayr 50% at home, a draw 30% and Morton 20%, so its call is 1: Ayr to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 25% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Ayr and 0.9 for Morton; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ayr
Attack 5th of 10, defence 8th of 10 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Raith Rvs 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Dunfermline 2026-08-08
- W 2-0 v Arbroath 2026-08-01
- L 0-1 v St Johnstone 2026-05-01
- L 1-2 at Airdrie Utd 2026-04-25
Morton
Attack 8th of 10, defence 10th of 10 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Arbroath 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Stenhousemuir 2026-08-08
- L 0-1 v Partick 2026-08-01
- D 1-1 v Airdrie Utd 2026-05-01
- L 0-4 at Ross County 2026-04-25
From 376 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 29 Aug
- Arbroath vs Livingston · FT 1–0
- Partick vs Queens Park · FT 0–0
- Stenhousemuir vs Inverness C · FT 3–1
