Arbroath vs Livingston prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Livingston to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Arbroath 26% at home, a draw 35% and Livingston 39%, so its call is X2: Livingston to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 26% / 26% / 47%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Arbroath and 1.2 for Livingston; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 65%. Careful: there is little recent data on Livingston, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Arbroath
Attack 7th of 10, defence 6th of 10 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Morton 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 v Inverness C 2026-08-08
- L 0-2 at Ayr 2026-08-01
- D 0-0 at Dunfermline 2026-05-01
- D 0-0 v Partick 2026-04-25
Livingston
Attack 1st of 10, defence 1st of 10 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Dunfermline 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Partick 2026-08-07
- W 2-0 v Queens Park 2026-08-01
- L 0-1 v Partick 2025-05-02
- W 3-0 at Hamilton 2025-04-26
From 376 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 29 Aug
- Ayr vs Morton · FT 1–1
- Partick vs Queens Park · FT 0–0
- Stenhousemuir vs Inverness C · FT 3–1