Santander vs Elche prediction
Spain La Liga · Friday 28 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Santander to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Santander 47% at home, a draw 24% and Elche 28%, so its call is 1: Santander to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 26% / 25%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Santander and 1.2 for Elche; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Santander, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Santander
Attack 13th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Getafe 2026-08-23
- D 2-2 v Villarreal 2026-08-16
Elche
Attack 8th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-5 v Barcelona 2026-08-23
- D 1-1 at La Coruna 2026-08-17
- D 1-1 at Girona 2026-05-23
- W 1-0 v Getafe 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Betis 2026-05-12
From 780 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Fri 28 Aug
- Alaves vs Villarreal · FT 1–0