Montpellier vs Boulogne prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Montpellier to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Montpellier 57% at home, a draw 28% and Boulogne 15%, so its call is 1: Montpellier to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 27% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Montpellier and 0.6 for Boulogne; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 70%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Montpellier
Attack 11th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Dunkerque 2026-08-21
- W 1-0 at Nancy 2026-08-14
- D 1-1 v Dijon 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 at Red Star 2026-05-09
- L 1-2 v Clermont 2026-05-02
Boulogne
Attack 17th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Red Star 2026-08-21
- L 0-1 at Guingamp 2026-08-14
- D 0-0 v Nancy 2026-08-08
- L 1-2 at Laval 2026-05-09
- L 1-2 v Annecy 2026-05-02
From 638 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 28 Aug
- Clermont vs Sochaux · FT 0–0
- Laval vs Grenoble · FT 0–3
- Nancy vs Dunkerque · FT 2–0
- Rodez vs Pau FC · FT 2–2