Clermont vs Sochaux prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Clermont to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Clermont 39% at home, a draw 32% and Sochaux 29%, so its call is 1X: Clermont to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 30% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.0 for Clermont and 0.9 for Sochaux; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 71%. Careful: there is little recent data on Sochaux, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Clermont
Attack 14th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Dijon 2026-08-21
- L 1-3 at St Etienne 2026-08-14
- D 0-0 v Reims 2026-08-08
- W 1-0 v Guingamp 2026-05-09
- W 2-1 at Montpellier 2026-05-02
Sochaux
Attack 18th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Guingamp 2026-08-21
- D 0-0 at Red Star 2026-08-14
- L 0-3 v St Etienne 2026-08-08
From 638 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 28 Aug
- Laval vs Grenoble · FT 0–3
- Montpellier vs Boulogne · FT 0–0
- Nancy vs Dunkerque · FT 2–0
- Rodez vs Pau FC · FT 2–2