Roma vs Fiorentina prediction
Italy Serie A · Monday 24 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Roma to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Roma 56% at home, a draw 25% and Fiorentina 19%, so its call is 1: Roma to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 57% / 25% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Roma and 0.8 for Fiorentina; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Roma
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-0 at Verona 2026-05-24
- W 2-0 v Lazio 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 at Parma 2026-05-10
- W 4-0 v Fiorentina 2026-05-04
- W 2-0 at Bologna 2026-04-25
Fiorentina
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 1-1 v Atalanta 2026-05-22
- W 2-0 at Juventus 2026-05-17
- D 0-0 v Genoa 2026-05-10
- L 0-4 at Roma 2026-05-04
- D 0-0 v Sassuolo 2026-04-26
From 768 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Mon 24 Aug
- Bologna vs Lazio · FT 0–1