Bologna vs Lazio prediction
Italy Serie A · Monday 24 August 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1X ✗ (home win or draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Bologna to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Bologna 40% at home, a draw 27% and Lazio 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 31% / 31%, a call of 1X. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bologna and 1.2 for Lazio; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Bologna
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 3-3 v Inter 2026-05-23
- W 1-0 at Atalanta 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 at Napoli 2026-05-11
- D 0-0 v Cagliari 2026-05-03
- L 0-2 v Roma 2026-04-25
Lazio
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-1 v Pisa 2026-05-23
- L 0-2 at Roma 2026-05-17
- L 0-3 v Inter 2026-05-09
- W 2-1 at Cremonese 2026-05-04
- D 3-3 v Udinese 2026-04-27
From 768 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Mon 24 Aug
- Roma vs Fiorentina · FT 4–0