Pisa vs Padova prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Pisa to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Pisa 63% at home, a draw 25% and Padova 12%, so its call is 1: Pisa to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 26% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for Pisa and 0.7 for Padova; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Pisa, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Pisa
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-1 v Cremonese 2025-05-13
- D 3-3 v Sudtirol 2025-05-09
- L 0-1 at Bari 2025-05-04
- W 1-0 v Frosinone 2025-05-01
- W 2-1 at Brescia 2025-04-25
Padova
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 4-3 at Cesena 2026-05-08
- W 1-0 v Pescara 2026-05-01
- L 0-1 at Virtus Entella 2026-04-25
- W 1-0 v Reggiana 2026-04-19
- W 1-0 v Empoli 2026-04-12
From 766 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 23 Aug
- Verona vs Ascoli · FT 1–2
- Cesena vs Sampdoria · FT 1–1
- Palermo vs Juve Stabia · FT 1–0