Cesena vs Sampdoria prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 23 August 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cesena to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Cesena 44% at home, a draw 32% and Sampdoria 24%, so its call is 1: Cesena to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 29% / 34%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cesena and 0.9 for Sampdoria; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 63%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cesena
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 3-4 v Padova 2026-05-08
- D 0-0 at Carrarese 2026-05-01
- D 0-0 v Sampdoria 2026-04-25
- L 0-2 at Palermo 2026-04-18
- L 0-2 at Juve Stabia 2026-04-11
Sampdoria
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-1 at Reggiana 2026-05-08
- W 1-0 v Sudtirol 2026-05-01
- D 0-0 at Cesena 2026-04-25
- L 0-3 v Monza 2026-04-17
- W 2-1 at Pescara 2026-04-11
From 766 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 23 Aug
- Pisa vs Padova · FT 0–1
- Verona vs Ascoli · FT 1–2
- Palermo vs Juve Stabia · FT 1–0