Man City vs Bournemouth prediction
England Premier League · Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Man City to win as the most likely result (60%). It gives Man City 60% at home, a draw 23% and Bournemouth 17%, so its call is 1: Man City to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 68% / 19% / 14%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Man City and 1.0 for Bournemouth; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Man City
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 1-2 v Aston Villa 2026-05-24
- D 1-1 at Bournemouth 2026-05-19
- W 3-0 v Crystal Palace 2026-05-13
- W 3-0 v Brentford 2026-05-09
- D 3-3 at Everton 2026-05-04
Bournemouth
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 1-1 at Nott'm Forest 2026-05-24
- D 1-1 v Man City 2026-05-19
- W 1-0 at Fulham 2026-05-09
- W 3-0 v Crystal Palace 2026-05-03
- D 2-2 v Leeds 2026-04-22
From 766 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sun 23 Aug
- Brighton vs Aston Villa · FT 4–0
- Newcastle vs Liverpool · FT 2–2