Getafe vs Santander prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:30 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Getafe to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Getafe 38% at home, a draw 32% and Santander 31%, so its call is 1X: Getafe to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 31% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.0 for Getafe and 0.9 for Santander; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 71%. Careful: there is little recent data on Santander, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Getafe
Attack 18th of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Alaves 2026-08-15
- W 1-0 v Osasuna 2026-05-23
- L 0-1 at Elche 2026-05-17
- W 3-1 v Mallorca 2026-05-13
- D 0-0 at Oviedo 2026-05-10
Santander
Attack 7th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Villarreal 2026-08-16
From 771 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 23 Aug
- Ath Madrid vs Villarreal · FT 2–2
- Elche vs Barcelona · FT 0–5