Ath Madrid vs Villarreal prediction
Spain La Liga · Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ath Madrid to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Ath Madrid 51% at home, a draw 22% and Villarreal 26%, so its call is 1: Ath Madrid to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 24% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Ath Madrid and 1.3 for Villarreal; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 61%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ath Madrid
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Malaga 2026-08-19
- L 1-5 at Villarreal 2026-05-24
- W 1-0 v Girona 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 at Osasuna 2026-05-12
- L 0-1 v Celta 2026-05-09
Villarreal
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Santander 2026-08-16
- W 5-1 v Ath Madrid 2026-05-24
- L 0-2 at Vallecano 2026-05-17
- L 2-3 v Sevilla 2026-05-13
- D 1-1 at Mallorca 2026-05-10
From 771 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sun 23 Aug
- Getafe vs Santander · FT 1–0
- Elche vs Barcelona · FT 0–5