Sutton vs Hartlepool prediction
England National League · Saturday 22 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sutton to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Sutton 38% at home, a draw 28% and Hartlepool 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 26% / 32%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sutton and 1.2 for Hartlepool; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sutton
Attack 17th of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Altrincham 2026-08-15
- W 3-0 at Woking 2026-08-08
- L 0-1 at Boreham Wood 2026-04-25
- L 1-2 v Altrincham 2026-04-18
- L 0-3 at Carlisle 2026-04-11
Hartlepool
Attack 20th of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Aldershot 2026-08-15
- W 2-0 v Barrow 2026-08-08
- L 1-3 at Boston Utd 2026-04-25
- W 4-3 v Southend 2026-04-21
- W 2-1 v Forest Green 2026-04-18
From 1128 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 22 Aug
- Solihull vs Southend · FT 1–3
- Worthing vs Wealdstone · FT 1–0
- Woking vs Fylde · FT 3–2
- Yeovil vs Gateshead · FT 3–0
- Kidderminster vs Aldershot · FT 1–1
- Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe · FT 3–2
- Halifax vs Tamworth · FT 4–1
- Forest Green vs Boreham Wood · FT 0–3
- Carlisle vs Hornchurch · FT 4–1
- Boston Utd vs Altrincham · FT 1–0
- Harrogate vs Barrow · FT 2–2