Carlisle vs Hornchurch prediction
England National League · Saturday 22 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Carlisle to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Carlisle 59% at home, a draw 22% and Hornchurch 19%, so its call is 1: Carlisle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 64% / 21% / 16%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Carlisle and 1.1 for Hornchurch; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on Hornchurch, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Carlisle
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Yeovil 2026-08-15
- L 2-3 v Worthing 2026-08-08
- W 3-0 v Brackley Town 2026-04-25
- W 1-0 at Truro 2026-04-18
- W 3-0 v Sutton 2026-04-11
Hornchurch
Attack 7th of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Barrow 2026-08-15
- W 3-0 v Kidderminster 2026-08-08
From 1128 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 22 Aug
- Solihull vs Southend · FT 1–3
- Worthing vs Wealdstone · FT 1–0
- Woking vs Fylde · FT 3–2
- Yeovil vs Gateshead · FT 3–0
- Sutton vs Hartlepool · FT 2–1
- Kidderminster vs Aldershot · FT 1–1
- Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe · FT 3–2
- Halifax vs Tamworth · FT 4–1
- Forest Green vs Boreham Wood · FT 0–3
- Boston Utd vs Altrincham · FT 1–0
- Harrogate vs Barrow · FT 2–2