Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Utrecht to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Sparta Rotterdam 30% at home, a draw 29% and Utrecht 42%, so its call is 2: Utrecht to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 27% / 36%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.4 for Utrecht; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack 17th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Telstar 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 v Feyenoord 2026-08-09
- L 2-3 v Excelsior 2026-05-17
- L 0-4 at Twente 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-05-03
Utrecht
Attack 8th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-4 v AZ Alkmaar 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 at Groningen 2026-08-09
- W 2-0 v For Sittard 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 at Ajax 2026-05-10
- W 2-0 v NAC Breda 2026-05-02
From 630 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sat 22 Aug
- For Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar · FT 0–2
- Heerenveen vs Zwolle · FT 0–2