For Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates AZ Alkmaar to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives For Sittard 29% at home, a draw 26% and AZ Alkmaar 45%, so its call is 2: AZ Alkmaar to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 18% / 21% / 62%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for For Sittard and 1.7 for AZ Alkmaar; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
For Sittard
Attack 13th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Cambuur 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-08-08
- L 0-2 at Utrecht 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 v Zwolle 2026-05-10
- L 1-2 v Feyenoord 2026-05-03
AZ Alkmaar
Attack 5th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 4-1 at Utrecht 2026-08-15
- W 2-0 v Den Haag 2026-08-08
- D 3-3 v NAC Breda 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at Feyenoord 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 v Twente 2026-05-03
From 630 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sat 22 Aug
- Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht · FT 3–3
- Heerenveen vs Zwolle · FT 0–2