Brit Predictor

Oviedo vs Leganes prediction

Spain Segunda · Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 WAT

Full timeOviedo 0–1 LeganesResult 2

Who wins?

OviedoDrawLeganes
Model 1 ✗
55%28%17%
Market 1 ✗
53%28%18%

Brit Predictor's model rates Oviedo to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Oviedo 55% at home, a draw 28% and Leganes 17%, so its call is 1: Oviedo to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 28% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Oviedo and 0.7 for Leganes; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 66%. Careful: there is little recent data on Oviedo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.4 – 0.7
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 66%
Both teams score37%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Oviedo

Attack 10th of 22, defence 2nd of 22 in the league.

DWWWD
  • D 0-0 v Granada 2026-08-15
  • W 2-1 v Cadiz 2025-06-01
  • W 1-0 at Tenerife 2025-05-25
  • W 1-0 v Zaragoza 2025-05-18
  • D 1-1 at Santander 2025-05-11

Leganes

Attack 21st of 22, defence 9th of 22 in the league.

DWLDL
  • D 1-1 at Girona 2026-08-16
  • W 1-0 v Mirandes 2026-05-31
  • L 0-3 at Cadiz 2026-05-24
  • D 0-0 v Huesca 2026-05-18
  • L 1-2 v Santander 2026-05-10

From 936 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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