Oviedo vs Leganes prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Oviedo to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Oviedo 55% at home, a draw 28% and Leganes 17%, so its call is 1: Oviedo to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 28% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Oviedo and 0.7 for Leganes; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 66%. Careful: there is little recent data on Oviedo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Oviedo
Attack 10th of 22, defence 2nd of 22 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Granada 2026-08-15
- W 2-1 v Cadiz 2025-06-01
- W 1-0 at Tenerife 2025-05-25
- W 1-0 v Zaragoza 2025-05-18
- D 1-1 at Santander 2025-05-11
Leganes
Attack 21st of 22, defence 9th of 22 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Girona 2026-08-16
- W 1-0 v Mirandes 2026-05-31
- L 0-3 at Cadiz 2026-05-24
- D 0-0 v Huesca 2026-05-18
- L 1-2 v Santander 2026-05-10
From 936 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 22 Aug
- Ceuta vs Las Palmas · FT 0–2
- Albacete vs Sociedad B · FT 1–2
- Eldense vs Cadiz · FT 2–2
