Ceuta vs Las Palmas prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Las Palmas to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Ceuta 27% at home, a draw 27% and Las Palmas 47%, so its call is 2: Las Palmas to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 27% / 40%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ceuta and 1.5 for Las Palmas; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ceuta
Attack 12th of 22, defence 22nd of 22 in the league.
- L 1-5 at Andorra 2026-08-15
- W 1-0 v Albacete 2026-05-30
- W 2-0 at Andorra 2026-05-24
- L 1-4 v Malaga 2026-05-16
- D 1-1 v Castellon 2026-05-09
Las Palmas
Attack 8th of 22, defence 4th of 22 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Albacete 2026-08-16
- W 2-1 at La Coruna 2026-05-31
- D 1-1 v Zaragoza 2026-05-24
- W 2-1 at Almeria 2026-05-16
- L 1-5 at Andorra 2026-05-10
From 936 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 22 Aug
- Oviedo vs Leganes · FT 0–1
- Albacete vs Sociedad B · FT 1–2
- Eldense vs Cadiz · FT 2–2