Morton vs Arbroath prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Arbroath to win as the most likely result (35%). It gives Morton 31% at home, a draw 34% and Arbroath 35%, so its call is X2: Arbroath to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 28% / 47%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Morton and 1.2 for Arbroath; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Morton
Attack 8th of 10, defence 10th of 10 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Stenhousemuir 2026-08-08
- L 0-1 v Partick 2026-08-01
- D 1-1 v Airdrie Utd 2026-05-01
- L 0-4 at Ross County 2026-04-25
- D 0-0 v Queens Park 2026-04-18
Arbroath
Attack 7th of 10, defence 5th of 10 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Inverness C 2026-08-08
- L 0-2 at Ayr 2026-08-01
- D 0-0 at Dunfermline 2026-05-01
- D 0-0 v Partick 2026-04-25
- W 2-1 v Raith Rvs 2026-04-18
From 371 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 22 Aug
- Raith Rvs vs Ayr · FT 2–0
- Queens Park vs Stenhousemuir · FT 0–2
- Livingston vs Dunfermline · FT 2–0