Livingston vs Dunfermline prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Livingston to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Livingston 49% at home, a draw 32% and Dunfermline 19%, so its call is 1: Livingston to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 24% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Livingston and 0.8 for Dunfermline; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%. Careful: there is little recent data on Livingston, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Livingston
Attack 1st of 10, defence 1st of 10 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Partick 2026-08-07
- W 2-0 v Queens Park 2026-08-01
- L 0-1 v Partick 2025-05-02
- W 3-0 at Hamilton 2025-04-26
- W 5-0 v Ayr 2025-04-18
Dunfermline
Attack 6th of 10, defence 4th of 10 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Ayr 2026-08-08
- D 0-0 at Inverness C 2026-08-01
- D 0-0 v Arbroath 2026-05-01
- W 2-0 at Queens Park 2026-04-25
- L 0-2 v St Johnstone 2026-04-21
From 371 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 22 Aug
- Raith Rvs vs Ayr · FT 2–0
- Queens Park vs Stenhousemuir · FT 0–2
- Morton vs Arbroath · FT 1–2