Charleroi vs Mechelen prediction
Belgium Pro League · Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Charleroi to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Charleroi 49% at home, a draw 27% and Mechelen 24%, so its call is 1: Charleroi to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 23% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Charleroi and 1.1 for Mechelen; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 50%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Charleroi
Attack 10th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Lommel SK 2026-08-16
- W 3-1 v Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-08-09
- W 2-0 at Standard 2026-05-23
- D 1-1 v Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-05-19
- L 0-1 v Westerlo 2026-05-16
Mechelen
Attack 9th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- D 3-3 v Standard 2026-08-16
- L 0-2 at Gent 2026-08-09
- L 0-3 at St Truiden 2026-05-24
- D 2-2 v Club Brugge 2026-05-21
- D 2-2 at Anderlecht 2026-05-17
From 642 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sat 22 Aug
- Waregem vs Beveren · FT 4–0
- Antwerp vs Genk · FT 4–4