Antwerp vs Genk prediction
Belgium Pro League · Saturday 22 August 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Genk to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Antwerp 35% at home, a draw 29% and Genk 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 27% / 25% / 48%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Antwerp and 1.2 for Genk; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Antwerp
Attack 12th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-0 at Kortrijk 2026-08-15
- W 2-1 v Beveren 2026-08-09
- W 2-0 v Westerlo 2026-05-23
- D 0-0 at Genk 2026-05-19
- L 0-3 at Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-05-15
Genk
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-2 v Westerlo 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 at Waregem 2026-08-09
- W 2-0 at Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-05-23
- D 0-0 v Antwerp 2026-05-19
- D 0-0 at Standard 2026-05-16
From 642 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sat 22 Aug
- Waregem vs Beveren · FT 4–0
- Charleroi vs Mechelen · FT 2–0