Sp Gijon vs Sabadell prediction
Spain Segunda · Monday 17 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Gijon to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Sp Gijon 57% at home, a draw 24% and Sabadell 19%, so its call is 1: Sp Gijon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 30% / 25%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sp Gijon and 0.9 for Sabadell; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 50%. Careful: there is little recent data on Sabadell, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sp Gijon
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-1 at Granada 2026-05-30
- W 3-1 v Almeria 2026-05-24
- W 3-1 at Zaragoza 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Malaga 2026-05-09
- L 1-2 v Ceuta 2026-05-03
Sabadell
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
From 933 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Mon 17 Aug
- Almeria vs Eldense · FT 3–0