Almeria vs Eldense prediction
Spain Segunda · Monday 17 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Almeria to win as the most likely result (67%). It gives Almeria 67% at home, a draw 18% and Eldense 15%, so its call is 1: Almeria to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 67% / 19% / 14%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.4 for Almeria and 1.1 for Eldense; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 67%. Careful: there is little recent data on Eldense, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Almeria
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 1-0 v Valladolid 2026-05-31
- L 1-3 at Sp Gijon 2026-05-24
- L 1-2 v Las Palmas 2026-05-16
- D 0-0 at Burgos 2026-05-09
- W 4-2 v Mirandes 2026-05-04
Eldense
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 2-3 at Huesca 2025-06-01
- D 3-3 v Santander 2025-05-25
- D 1-1 at Castellon 2025-05-18
- W 1-0 v Malaga 2025-05-11
- L 0-5 at Almeria 2025-05-04
From 933 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Mon 17 Aug
- Sp Gijon vs Sabadell · FT 0–0