Girona vs Leganes prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 16 August 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Girona to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Girona 46% at home, a draw 28% and Leganes 26%, so its call is 1: Girona to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 63% / 23% / 15%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Girona and 0.9 for Leganes; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on Girona, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Girona
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
Leganes
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 1-0 v Mirandes 2026-05-31
- L 0-3 at Cadiz 2026-05-24
- D 0-0 v Huesca 2026-05-18
- L 1-2 v Santander 2026-05-10
- L 1-2 at La Coruna 2026-05-01
From 929 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 16 Aug
- Eibar vs Tenerife · FT 1–3
- Burgos vs Cordoba · FT 3–2
- Las Palmas vs Albacete · FT 2–1